This week we read about energy and climate change policy instruments. The purpose of the blog assignment is to take a position on the use of joint vs. single instruments as a way to affect innovation. In the spirit of making our blog responses more interesting, I am attempting to take the contrary view to my peer (the only other student in the class this semester) and defend the use of single instruments as a good instigator of innovation.
According to Oikonomou et al (2010), there are four types of policy instruments for energy and climate policy: energy tax, subsidies for energy efficiency, labeling in buildings, white certificates, and carbon tax. They span four different types of measures – tax, subsidies, regulations, and certificates. The article claims that each of the five policy instruments do very little for innovation and for raising climate awareness. When the instruments are combined, only four combinations create any value greater than that of a single instrument. Three of these four combinations include subsidies for energy efficiencies, which seems to work as a balance to additional costs related to taxes, certificates, and regulations.
However, something interesting emerges when the combinations of the five instruments are tested for their contribution to diffusing existing technology or spurring new innovative technologies. Of course, all combinations lead to greater diffusion of existing technology but all four of the highest combinations for innovation include a carbon tax. Could it be that a carbon tax is an ideal way to drive innovation? The data in this study suggest that in combination with other instruments it leads to innovation. But what about as a single instrument?
A closer look seems to suggest that innovative technologies follow a carbon tax. For example, the Copenhagen Economic’s work for European Commission DG TAXUD finds global evidence of a link between taxes and innovations. The report references findings of a study in the quote below:
A recent study carried out by the OECD finds that current and future expected carbon prices appear to have powerful effects on R&D spending and clean technology diffusion. The study assumes a global carbon price reflecting the CO2 emission trajectories necessary to keep temperature increases below 2˚ Celsius. Under this scenario new technologies will contribute with ca. 50 percent decarbonisation where current rates are ca. 35 percent. These calculations are based on a detailed description of the energy sector (bottom-up) and the carbon markets combined with a general description of the global economy (top-down, CGE).
Frankly, it’s easier to find support that carbon tax and cap-and-trade (and other instruments) do NOT lead to innovation. So, this is a tough position to argue…it seems that policy rarely inspires innovation.
But, I will end by pointing out that the single instrument does have the advantage of economy and simplicity, and supposedly greater efficiency. Those characteristics make it an appealing option. It is difficult to project whether a carbon tax in the US would lead to greater innovation or just long-term higher costs for the energy consumer. Regardless, it is an interesting concept to consider.